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Fearless forecast
2010.05.09 11:47 PM
Given the “weights” people seem to be using to vote, my forecast is that the results are going to turn out as predicted. And while it does dishearten me, I guess I’ll have to accept it as that’s the “voice of the people” – which in turn vindicates my old claim that we really don’t deserve democracy. I just want to go on the record that if Noynoy doesn’t deliver on his promises… those who voted for him are not going to hear the end of it from me. And the next time we talk politics, your opinions would be of considerably less significance. So your man better be the person you hope him to be – because I’m pretty sure he’s not. And thankfully, unlike debating the existence of God, we will have the answer if he’s indeed the man who could “fix” our country. If your “faith” in him was just that; blind, naive faith – or if it really was based on something more substantial (which I highly doubt). In fact, just for the heck of it, I’m willing to make a bet: If Noynoy wins, and he does deliver – then I’ll shave my head bald. If by some miracle, Gordon wins, and he doesn’t deliver, I’ll do the same. My only stipulation on that bet is that whatever it is Noynoy “delivers” – will be of no less caliber than what Gordon claims he (Gordon) could accomplish. So I won’t be accepting the “it’ll take time” or “it’s not as easy as it sounds,” or even the “we can’t expect that drastic a change in such a short period” types of excuses for an answer. Because I know our man would never cop out to answers like that – he never had to and still got results – why should he start now? You said your man can turn this country around, then I will expect of him no less than what I am expecting of my candidate. I will want to see concrete end-results – not just “in-progress” shit. You know why us people from Gordon’s camp are so “confident” about these kinds of claims even if they’re still in the realm of suppositions?1 It’s because he has done them in a micro-level already. Like I said, wether or not that it’s possible to “port” his accomplishments to a macro-level (the Philippines), of all the candidates, he still has the best chances by the mere fact of having the experience of “trying.”2 It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to know by now that Gordon is the type of man that will get things done – even if entails being a hands-on type of leader (instead of passing the responsibilies/blame to others). Whether or not this “initiative/determination” is driven by personal pride (of not looking bad / failing),3 or simply because he’s just that capable, isn’t really relevant at this point. As long as that inititave/determination yields the results our country so badly needs, how can that be a bad thing right? The reason why I’ll feel bad if someone like Noynoy wins is because when all is said and done, and when my fearless forecast does come true4 the only consolation people like us have left to say to ourselves is that “it could’ve been worse” (We could’ve gotten Villar, or Erap). This is so disconcerting because given the candidates we currently have, it really could’ve been better – so much better. I will admit, I do not underestimate the urgency of not letting people like Erap or Villar win, so while the “winnable” argument turns a lot of people off – when it comes to the point that Erap or Villar winning, then I guess voting for Noynoy would definitely be the better choice.5 I believe I admitted this on my earlier blog post(s), however the reason I’m crestfallen is that since it’s rare that I actually am this optimistic about the possibilities of our country, I’ve realized that we actually have a shot at true progress – which, if you know me, I’ve normally been very skeptical of. It just pisses me off that the country is most probably going to waste a rare opportunity because they’d rather elect someone out of sentiment rather than sense – and the reasons for my jadedness, skepticism, or lack of faith in our society will be proven right once again – when right now, there’s nothing more that I want than to be proven wrong. I apologize to Noynoy supporters who are friends of mine in advance; because this is really addressed to most of you. I have no qualms about Gibo supporters because I truly believe that this election, if people really used sense over sentiment, should really be between Gibo and Gordon. And both would be fine choices. While still I think Gordon is considerably more capable and experienced than Gibo, I wouldn’t mind Gibo winning as he, to me, is the real “second best” choice. Noynoy, Villar, etc. are all a distant 3rd IMHO as far as potential goes. So I will have to be honest that Noynoy winning… to me is just like Erap winning – the only difference/consolation would [hopefully] be that that he wouldn’t be as corrupt (or corrupt at all) as you say he is – but as far as actually effecting change in this country – I seriously doubt it. That his VP is more capable than him (admitted by your own camp) is a clear indication of that. If anything, it would be Mar that could actually do something – but it seems Binay might just win. If that happens, the whole “balance” of Noynoy’s situation will suddenly go haywire; can he really control someone like Binay if they don’t agree with policies? But you know who could handle anyone regardless of irreconcilable differences? Someone who isn’t concerned with “playing nice.” Someone like Gordon. So I’m hoping for a miracle… and I will shave my head if that miracle is given to me. I hope those people saying they will hold themselves accountable for the leaders they elect could really do something that could make up for that mistake (should it be proven that they indeed made a mistake). Because let’s face it, there’s really nothing you can do once you set the wheel in motion and realize you’ve made a mistake. What else can you do right? Nothing, because the only thing any of us could’ve done is just choose the right man for the job, and we didn’t – we blew it – simple as that. Mo Twister was right when he said that it really is the people’s loss if Gordon loses. And if people still think that’s an arrogant claim instead of trying to see exactly what’s at stake here, then we fucking deserve to fall further down the rabbit hole. |
Oh and with regards to what Mo said, you know how I feel about him. Hahaha :) In any case, it is slightly arrogant to say that if Gordon loses it’s the people’s loss because that states that Gordon is the only savior of our country.
You said it yourself that Gibo is a good second choice. He still has a chance of upsetting the elections. So does this mean if Gibo wins the people lose? If so then he’s not a good second choice at all.
So a Gordon loss is by no means an automatic way of saying the people lose. It’s just plainly Gordon not winning. That’s all. The other candidates Noy included, have a chance of uplifting our country from the shit hole we’re in. It’s just how well they use that chance.
In terms of “quantifying” Noynoy’s ability in public service. Consider this, he’s been 9 years in congress and 3 years in the senate. So tell me, what has he got to show?
Also the fact that he’s already 50 years old. No wife no kids. not even a key accomplishment in business or in politics. I’m not really sure why people are voting for him.
There should be a basis when voting your candidates by not just mere “HOPE”. Look into your candidate’s track record. Has he done anything while being paid by the Tax Payer’s money? Think Noynoy supporters. THINK!
Actually you know what. YES! Vote for NOYNOY instead. Para tumaas ulit dollar. more $$$$ for us work-at-home freelancers!

This going to be hard to quantify since the only way to measure this would be to have them both be president and compare performances to each other. Unless you’re in that position, you can’t really measure accurately. Just as while I’m good at car games on consoles I can’t really measure my performance vs. real drivers because I’ve not driven the actual or real cars.
How about measuring it against something that’s quantifiable? You can’t compare to Gordon because he hasn’t been President. So compare it against something else. Let’s say if elected, Noy should have lessened corruption by x amount or he should have improved our ratings against other countries by how many ranks, etc. Something like that.